It is now about 2pm in New York and the weather is getting interesting. The temperature is about 58 degrees so its not cold but we have sustained winds – that’s a steady blow – of about 20 miles per hour and gusts into the upper 30s. The rain has steadily increased but it not yet the torrential downpour that is expected. Lower parts of Manhattan have seen some flooding from the storm surge coming up the Hudson River. On top of the seasonal high tides the surges have brought water over the walkways around Battery Park at the very bottom of Manhattan. There has been no serious flooding yet but this is predicted to change later today.
The surge here is particularly dangerous because at the entrance to the Hudson River and along the outer banks north and south, the coast creates a funnel effect, increasingly squeezing the water into a higher and higher surge. And the power behind the water will drive it over the boardwalks and into the populated areas. Remember the pictures of the tsunamis in Indonesia and Japan? Maybe not has significant but with incredible power behind it.
On the outer coastal areas like Long Island and Coney Island and at some low level areas of Long Island Sound, flooding is already widespread. There are pictures of people in waste deep water wading down streets or in boats. In one rather bizzare clip a guy in scuba gear surfaced next to another in a sea kyak, all this on a residential street.
Later today the forecasters are saying the wind will increase significantly. Steady winds of 70 to 90 miles per hour – thats about 150 kms an hour – are expected to build into the evening with gusts over 100 miles per hour. Rainfall of up to 2 inches is expected in New York City by tomorrow afternoon. There are fears that a storm surge – a steady rising of the water levels rather than a wave – of up to 10 feet will come up the Hudson River. With the high tide at 8pm tonight, this will certainly flood Battery Park and the lower part of the adjacent financial district. It also risks flooding the subway system with salt water, the first time this will have every happened. MTA crews are sandbagging every subway opening to try to prevent what would be catastrophic damage to the electrical controls and swiitching systems and delay recovery of the system for days.
The MTA has announced that two major tunnels, the Battery Park Tunnel between Manhattan and Brooklyn and the Holland Tunnel to New Jersey, will close at 2pm. The major suspension bridges across the East River, the so called BMW Bridges – Brooklyn, Manhattan and Williamsburg – will close once the wind gusts get to 60 miles per hour.
Most businesses in Manhattan seem to have taken a “storm day”. Restaurants are closed as well and only a few small grocery store/delis are open. With no public transportation employees can’t get into their jobs. One store owner in our neighbourhood slept in his store last night so he could be open today.
New York is slowly winding down in the face of Sandy. New Yorkers seem mixed in their reactions. Many point to the fact that Irene was supposed to decimate the City when it came ashore 14 months ago and then didn’t live up to it billing. Others are taking the advise of emergency officials. I am very impressed with the level of preparedness among municipal and state officials here. They have obviously learned a lot from past experience in dealing with emergency situations and when decisions are made, things happen and resources are mobilized quickly. The heart of the communications system is “311”, a lesson Vancouver should learn quickly.
Sandy is a much bigger storm – a “Frankenstorm” they are calling it – with higher sustained winds and is coming ashore accompanied by the highest tides of the fall and a full moon. If the predicted storm track is correct, it will go through less than 100 miles south of Manhattan but has a wind pattern over 200 miles wide.
We are well prepared with food and water in house and the cellphones at full charge. I will post again this evening after we get out to see what is going on in our neighbourhood. In the meantime, stay tuned to CNN.






